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Polynomial Applications

Binomial Distribution

Many questions can have only one of two possible answers. If you flip a coin it must land on either heads or tails. A child will born be either genetically male or genetically female. An organism in a given environment will either survive or die. In biology, we often want to know the probability that a certain even will occur. For example, if there are two possible alleles, A and a at a given locus, we may want to know the probability that 5 out of 10 children are AA where p is the probability of a child being AA.

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The binomial distribution gives the probability of k successes in n independent trials that have a yes or no answer, known as Bernoulli trials, where p is the probability of success. The binomial distribution can be used in genetics to determine the probability the k out of n individuals will have a particular genotype. In this case, having that particular genotype is considered "success."

The binomial distribution is given by,

where P (k/n) is the probability of k successes in n trials, and p is the probability of a success. Recall that m! = m · (m - 1) · (m - 2) · · · 2 · 1 where m is a positive integer, and 0! = 1. Because n trials are yes/no, notices that there are k successful trials, each with probability p, and the remaining n - k trials are failures, each with probability 1 - p.

To demonstrate the binomial distribution, let n = 5 and k = 2, in other words there are 2 successes in 5 trials. Under these circumstances the distribution becomes,

where p is the probability of success.

Use the binomial distribution to answer the following questions:

Write the binomial distribution for a given trial.

Write the binomial distribution given the numbers of trials and number of successes

Find the probability that a given number of offspring will be heterozygotes.

Find the probability that given number of offspring will have genotype AA.

Describe the shape of the graph of the binomial distribution.

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